Rising Need, Falling Resources — And a Big Build in the Middle
Opinion — Voice of Nanaimo
November 7, 2025
Nanaimo’s
Loaves & Fishes is caught in a vise: demand is up, resources are down, and
a 24,000‑sq‑ft regional warehouse is rising on East Wellington just as the fuel
(cash and food) to run it sputters.
On the demand
side, they’re serving more people than ever—while donations slide. Over the
past year, cash giving is down roughly 20%, and the organization says it’s now
carrying an ~$35,000 monthly operating deficit, even trimming its Christmas
program to gift cards only. That’s not “nice‑to‑have” funding evaporating;
that’s core operations under strain.
On the capital
side, the warehouse is meant to make the whole Island’s food‑recovery system
work better—more storage, better logistics, less waste. The Province put in $7
million expressly for construction; Ottawa promised $5 million (through
PacifiCan in the 2024 Fall Economic Statement); the City bought the land
(~$1.3M) and is leasing it for 30 years at a nominal rate. As of late 2024,
Loaves & Fishes still projected a ~$2.2M shortfall to finish. In other
words, the build is largely government‑backed, but capital dollars don’t buy
diesel, wages, or utilities.
That’s the
paradox: expanding capacity precisely when the inputs are shrinking.
Grocery “good food” recoveries have also dipped at points this year—partly a
function of leaner retail inventories and inflation squeezing surplus. Fewer
recoverable cartons + fewer donor dollars = the worst possible timing for
operations.
What Nanaimo should ask for—right now
Absolute
clarity on dollars. A simple public dashboard
should separate capital (the building) from operations (everything it takes to
move food). Show: (a) capital budget vs. commitments vs. cash in bank; (b)
operating revenue vs. expenses, monthly; (c) volumes (kg) in and out; (d)
people served. If federal money is delayed, say so plainly and quantify the
carrying cost if bridge financing is required (the org has warned a mortgage in
the ~$30k/month range would bite into services).
A
community plan to stabilize operations through 2026. Short term, this is about cash flow. Food drives help, but cash buys
exactly what’s missing, when it’s missing, at the best price. Publish a
three‑line “keep the doors open” budget target to year‑end (e.g., fuel, wages,
utilities) and ask the public and businesses to underwrite specific months or
line items. Tie gifts to outcomes (“$X keeps trucks rolling for Y weeks”).
Governments:
finish what you started. The $5M federal commitment
should move from promise to payment. If installments were scheduled over two
fiscal years, tell the community when and how much; if timelines have slipped,
explain why—and what interim financing looks like. The City and RDN, already key
partners (land purchase; early‑phase support), could consider temporary
interest‑cost relief or a bridge‑support backstop only if federal funds are
delayed—time‑limited, transparent, and tied to metrics.
Value‑for‑money
vigilance—without conspiracy. People are right to
ask: is the build cost reasonable? At a headline ~$14M for ~24,000 sq ft (≈
$583/ft²), it’s high for a bare “box,” but within striking distance for a
distribution facility with food‑safe fit‑out, cold‑storage, docks, heavy MEP
and siteworks. The remedy isn’t outrage; it’s line‑item transparency: shell vs.
MEP vs. cold rooms vs. siteworks vs. soft costs. Publish the breakdown and
benchmark each bucket.
Metrics
that matter. Every month: kilograms recovered,
kilograms distributed, people served, operating burn rate, and average cost per
kilogram moved. If inputs (from grocers) keep falling, say whether the new
building changes that math (e.g., can you capture seasonal gluts Island‑wide
that you couldn’t before?).
This isn’t
just a Nanaimo story; it’s a 2025 story. Inflation, donor fatigue, and thinner
retail surpluses are colliding with rising need. Capital solves capacity; it
doesn’t solve cash‑flow. If we want the trucks rolling and shelves stocked, we
need operating dollars now and predictable capital flow to finish the build.
Anything less is a warehouse with the lights off.
Call to action. If you can
give, give cash. If you’re a grocer or distributor, pick up the phone about
regular recoveries. If you’re in government, expedite the capital you’ve
already announced and help neutralize any short‑term financing costs tied to
any delay. And to Loaves & Fishes: publish the dashboard, own the numbers,
and keep this community in the loop—good, bad, or ugly.

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